LOCATION · Philippines

Manila Typhoon Tracker & Live Weather Radar Map

Is this typhoon going to hit Metro Manila — and how strong will it be?

LEV Weather DeskUpdated May 26, 20264 min read
Pairs with the hurricanes + Precip Radar + sst layer on the live mapOpen →

No major city on Earth lives with tropical storms quite like Manila. The Philippine capital sits in the planet's busiest typhoon corridor, and the rhythm of its year is shaped by the storms that march in off the Pacific — and by the floods they bring to a low-lying, densely populated metropolis. Typhoons, monsoon deluges and storm surge are the defining hazards here, and tracking them is less a curiosity than a routine part of life. It's exactly what the live map is built to help with.

The world's typhoon capital

The Philippines occupies the most typhoon-prone region anywhere, on the western rim of the Pacific Ocean. Two ingredients make it so: the ocean here is enormous, deep and warm, providing the fuel that tropical storms feed on, and the prevailing winds tend to steer those storms westward, straight at the islands. In a typical year, around twenty tropical cyclones enter the country's area of responsibility, and several strike land.

Manila, near the heart of the archipelago, is squarely in the path. Some storms hit the metro directly; many more affect it indirectly, by funnelling moisture into the region. Either way, the season's storms set the tempo of the city's weather from summer through autumn.

Rapid intensification over warm seas

What makes western-Pacific typhoons especially dangerous is how quickly they can strengthen. When a storm crosses exceptionally warm water with little to disrupt it, it can undergo rapid intensification — leaping in strength in a matter of hours, sometimes faster than forecasts can keep pace with. A system that looked manageable one day can arrive as a far more powerful storm the next.

This is why watching the storm against the ocean beneath it matters so much: the warmth of the sea is a clue to how much room a typhoon has to grow. The warmer and deeper the water along its path, the more fuel it has.

When the rain has nowhere to go

For Metro Manila, the most frequent damage isn't always the wind — it's the water. The metro is low-lying and densely built, threaded with rivers and creeks and bordered by Manila Bay and a large inland lake. When a typhoon or an enhanced southwest monsoon (locally, the habagat) drops huge volumes of rain in a short time, that water overwhelms the drainage and floods streets, homes and entire districts.

Crucially, a storm doesn't have to make a direct hit to flood the city. A typhoon passing offshore can pull the monsoon into overdrive, soaking Metro Manila for days. And along the coast comes the added menace of storm surge — the dome of seawater a typhoon shoves ashore, the same hazard that has proved catastrophic elsewhere in the country and the deadliest part of many tropical systems.

The bigger cycle: El Niño and La Niña

Behind individual storms sits a larger rhythm. The El Niño and La Niña cycle in the Pacific tilts the odds each year — shifting where typhoons tend to form and track, and swinging the Philippines between wetter and drier patterns. Knowing which phase is in play helps set expectations for how active and how wet a season may be.

Reading it on the live map

A Manila typhoon is best read with three layers together:

  • Track the storm. Turn on the Hurricanes layer to follow a typhoon's path and forecast approach to the islands.
  • Watch the rain bands. Add Radar to see the bands sweeping ashore — for the city, the rain and its flooding are often the main event.
  • Read the fuel. Use Sea Surface Temperature to see the warm water feeding the system; a storm crossing very warm seas has the room to intensify fast.
  • Mind the surge and the season. Coastal areas face storm surge, as the surge guide explains, and the El Niño cycle frames how busy the whole season is likely to be.

The hurricane layer tells you where the storm is going, radar tells you when the rain arrives, and the warm ocean tells you how strong it might get. In the world's typhoon capital, reading the three as one is how Manila stays a step ahead of the next storm.

Frequently asked questions

Why does the Philippines get so many typhoons?

The Philippines sits in the most typhoon-active region on Earth, on the western edge of the Pacific where the ocean is vast, deep and warm. That warm water is the fuel storms need, and the prevailing winds steer system after system westward straight toward the islands. On the order of twenty tropical cyclones enter the country's area of responsibility in a typical year, with several making landfall — which is why typhoon awareness is simply part of life in Manila.

When is typhoon season in Manila?

Tropical cyclones can form year-round in the western Pacific, but the season peaks roughly from July through October, overlapping the southwest monsoon. During these months Manila faces the highest risk of direct hits and, just as importantly, of typhoons enhancing the monsoon rains. Even a storm that never makes landfall near the city can pull in moisture that drenches Metro Manila for days.

Why is flooding such a problem in Metro Manila?

It's a combination of geography and intensity. Metro Manila is low-lying, densely built and laced with rivers and creeks, sitting beside Manila Bay and a large lake. When a typhoon or an enhanced monsoon dumps enormous rain in a short time, the water has nowhere to go quickly, and streets and neighbourhoods flood. Coastal areas face the added threat of storm surge — the wall of seawater a typhoon pushes ashore, which has been catastrophic elsewhere in the country.

How do I track a typhoon heading for Manila on the map?

Turn on the Hurricanes layer to see the storm's track and forecast approach, Radar to watch the rain bands as they reach land, and Sea Surface Temperature to see the warm water fuelling the system. A storm crossing very warm seas with little to disrupt it can intensify rapidly, so watching the track against the ocean's warmth gives you an early read on both where it's going and how strong it may get.

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