EARTH · VERIFIED CONFLICT RECORD

Conflict in Guatemala

NOT LIVE · GUATEMALA RECORD RUNS 12 JAN 2024 25 MAY 2026

This is a verified record, not a live feed. UCDP hand-codes every event from published sources, which takes weeks — the newest event here is from 2026-05-31. For what is happening right now, LEV’s Global Incidents layer carries the machine-coded newswire at about fifteen minutes’ delay.

Between 12 Jan 2024 and 25 May 2026, researchers at Uppsala University hand-coded 66 events of organised violence in Guatemala from published sources. Their best estimate is 98 people killed — and their own range runs 96–110, which is the honest width of what anyone actually knows.

What the record holds

DEATHS RECORDED · UCDP BEST ESTIMATE98

UCDP range 96–110.

EVENTS66

64 placed precisely enough to map; 2 counted but not pinned, because UCDP could place them no closer than a province.

Who was doing the killing

Non-state28 events · 48 killed (UCDP range 46–50)Two armed groups fight each other and neither is a government — militias, cartels, communal violence.
One-sided38 events · 50 killed (UCDP range 50–60)An armed group or government kills civilians who are not fighting back.

The conflicts behind the events

M18 - Civilians39
39–43 · 27 ev
M18 - MS-1336
34–37 · 19 ev
MS-13 - Civilians11
11–17 · 11 ev
Jalisco Cartel New Generation - Sinaloa Cartel7
7–8 · 5 ev
Unidentified actors5
UCDP low and high agree · 4 ev

Where UCDP had not yet established an actor’s identity it records a placeholder rather than a name; those appear here as “unidentified actor”.

The deadliest single event on record

29 JUL 2025 · GUATEMALA CITY8 killed

UCDP's low and high agree on this figure. UCDP's low and high estimates are both 8 — the sources agree.

M18 - MS-13 · non-state violence — two armed groups fight each other and neither is a government — militias, cartels, communal violence.

Guatemala, elsewhere on LiveEarthViewer

Source

Uppsala Conflict Data Program, Uppsala University — UCDP GED v26.1 + UCDP Candidate v26_0_1..v26_0_5, released under CC BY 4.0. Coverage ends 31 May 2026. UCDP records Guatemala under the name “Guatemala”. Every figure on this page is UCDP’s, aggregated and labelled — none is modelled or estimated by LEV.