Honest projection · estimated
World Population (est.)
est.
8,268,283,776people
≈ +2.3 people/sec (net) · UN World Population Prospects 2024 — births minus deaths
A projection, not a census: the UN’s mid-2024 estimate carried forward at the current net growth rate (births minus deaths). The true figure is known only to within tens of millions — this is the honest running estimate.
About this number
This is an honest projection, not a census. It is computed by carrying a published figure forward at a known rate over real elapsed time — ≈ +2.3 people/sec (net), from UN World Population Prospects 2024 — births minus deaths. The source is UN World Population Prospects 2024. The true value is known only to within a margin; this is the running estimate, and we label it as one.