WEATHER · CLIMATE NORMALS · 1991–2020
Warsaw Climate — Averages by Month
What the weather in Warsaw, PLaverages across a standard 30-year period. Each month's figure is the 1991–2020 mean temperature and total rainfall from the ERA5 reanalysis — the long-run normal a place settles around, not a forecast for any particular day.
Month-by-month normals
| Month | Avg temperature | Avg rainfall |
|---|---|---|
| January | -1.4 °C · coldest | 47.7 mm |
| February | -0.3 °C | 44.2 mm |
| March | 3.2 °C | 48.0 mm |
| April | 9.2 °C | 50.6 mm |
| May | 14.3 °C | 72.3 mm |
| June | 17.6 °C | 73.3 mm |
| July | 19.5 °C · warmest | 89.3 mm · wettest |
| August | 18.9 °C | 70.1 mm |
| September | 13.9 °C | 61.6 mm |
| October | 8.7 °C | 50.5 mm |
| November | 3.9 °C | 46.1 mm |
| December | 0.0 °C | 49.1 mm |
How to read these numbers
These are reanalysis normals, not readings from a single weather station. They come from the ERA5 0.25° (~25 km) global reanalysis grid, sampled at the grid cell nearest Warsaw — centred at 52.25°N, 21.00°E. A reanalysis blends observations with a physics model onto an even grid, so a coastal or mountain city's cell can read a little cooler, warmer, wetter or drier than the city centre itself. The month-to-month shape — when it's hot, when it rains — is what these normals capture best.
“Normal” means the 1991–2020 average, the current World Meteorological Organization standard period. A normal is what a place tends toward over decades — any single day, month or year can and will depart from it.